The Impeachment Hearing Room

Poll: Obama opens biggest lead over McCain| Growing Doubts About McCain's Judgment, Age and Campaign Conduct | Obama's Lead Widens: 52%-38%

Taking The Measure Of The McCain Palin Campaign: McCain’s “Dead Cat Bounce” Is Apparently Over and now we have to listen to

the howling death throes!

As more voters are taking advantage of early voting windows across the country, the pollsters are finding that some voters whom they considered "unlikely" voters have in fact turned out to vote. Zogby gives Obama a 21-point lead nationwide among people who have already voted, and Survey USA and Civitas peg his advantage among early voters in North Carolina at around 20 and 30 points, respectively.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

Dem leads rival by 10 points among registered voters in NBC/WSJ survey

WASHINGTON - With voters’ increased confidence in his ability to serve as commander in chief, as well as a majority who now believe he would do a good job as president, Barack Obama has opened up his biggest advantage over John McCain in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

With two weeks to go until Election Day, Obama now leads his Republican rival by 10 points among registered voters, 52 to 42 percent, up from 49 to 43 percent two weeks ago.

Obama’s current lead is also fueled by his strength among independent voters (topping McCain 49 to 37 percent), suburban voters (53 to 41), Catholics (50 to 44) and white women (49 to 45).

In early September, after the Republican National Convention, McCain was ahead with independents and Catholics, and narrowly trailed Obama among suburban voters.

“To me, the voters have reached a comfort level with Barack Obama,” says Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Neil Newhouse. “The doubts and question marks have been erased.”

Newhouse adds, “Obama’s beginning to meet a threshold of acceptance among voters.”

Palin’s drag on the ticket?

That doesn’t appear to be the case with McCain’s running mate, Sarah Palin. Fifty-five percent of respondents say she’s not qualified to serve as president if the need arises, up five points from the previous poll.

In addition, for the first time, more voters have a negative opinion of her than a positive one. In the survey, 47 percent view her negatively, versus 38 percent who see her in a positive light.

That’s a striking shift since McCain chose Palin as his running mate in early September, when she held a 47 to 27 percent positive rating.

Now, Palin’s qualifications to be president rank as voters’ top concern about McCain’s candidacy - ahead of continuing President Bush’s policies, enacting economic policies that only benefit the rich and keeping too high of a troop presence in Iraq.

By comparison, voters’ top concerns about Obama include, in order:

• Being too inexperienced.
• Being too liberal.
• Raising taxes on some Americans.
• Being too influenced by people like his former pastor Jeremiah Wright and the ‘60s radical Bill Ayers.

Hart argues that voters have turned against Palin. The negative opinions of her have “reflected badly on McCain and essentially hurt the ticket dramatically.”

Obama’s strengthened standing

The poll — conducted of 1,159 registered voters from Oct. 17 to 20, and with an overall margin of error of plus-minus 2.9 percentage points — comes after the presidential debates and in the midst of Colin Powell’s public endorsement of Obama on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

Those events appear to have strengthened Obama’s standing with voters. Forty-eight percent say they have confidence in Obama serving as commander in chief, which is nearly identical to the 50 percent who said the same of McCain.

A month ago, however, just 42 percent said they were confident in Obama’s commander in chief abilities, compared with 53 percent for McCain.

Moreover, 56 percent say they are either “optimistic or confident” or “satisfied and hopeful” that Obama would do a good job as president. Only 44 percent say that of McCain.

And now 55 percent believe that Obama shares their background and values, which isn’t far off from the 57 percent who believe the same about McCain.

Metrics Are Adding Up For Obama - Charlie Cook, National Journal

Six Handicaps For John McCain - Edward Luttwak, Forbes

Powell Drops the Hammer on McCain - Roger Simon, Politico

State Polls: CO, NV, WV, NC, IN, FL, PA / Senate Polls: NC, KY, OK, MN

The Power of Powell's Rebuke - Eugene Robinson, Washington Post

Why Obama Should Be the Next President - Boris Johnson, Daily Telegraph

Senate Dems Don't Need 60 To Reach Magic Number - Bruce Reed, Slate

Long Lines, a Few Glitches Mark Start of Early Voting - Miami Herald